McGuinty's Liberals grab momentum in Ontario election
BeaverFever BeaverFever:
The moral of the story is: People want government to provided value for money, not nothing for nothing. People want efficient services, and are prepared to pay a reasonable tax to recieve them, not minimal services and minimal taxes. The two are not the same and Harrisites don't seem to grasp that.
Remember, Ford and Tory campaigned on promises not to cut services, just to end "massive waste". And now Ford is trying to impose some of (if not THE) biggest one-time cuts in the city's history. Similarly, Hudak is campainging on a promise not to impose massive cuts. So lets get that straight: in recent elections, including the current one, nobody voted for massive cuts and no candidate promised them.
The problem with voters is that they gullible and vulnerable to these types of promises because average people don't understand what the services they value actually cost so they have no way of measuring whether they are getting value for their dollar. Suppose you believe that the government should build a new highway between two points. How much should that highway cost, $100 million? $800 million? $2 billion? For most people, there is nothing in their education or experience that would tell them what the reasonable expenditure is. Nobody knows how much it costs the government to build a highway, a hospital, school their kids, pave their roads, police their communities, etc. And the dollar amounts - millions, hundreds of millions, billions - are so large that people can't really grasp the scale. $1 Billion may sound like a lot, but it's only about 1% of the Provincial budget...but average people cant grasp that. It's like when you tell them a certain star is 80 trillion miles away...nobody can really visualise distance on that scale, even though everyone knows what a mile is. You might as well tell people the highway costs a skillion-gagillion dollars, it's all gibberish to them. In the end, no matter what the cost, people who think they will use the highway and benefit from it will support it while those who won't benefit from it, will call it a waste of money. This makes these voters easy prey for right-wing politicians who can hold up just about any government invoice - and claim it is "massive waste" no matter how and reasonable it actually is. Now, by no means am I saying that all government expenses are reasonable, I'm just saying that Joe Average wouldn't know the difference.
This is what Fordites and Harrisites take advantage of to sell people on ridiculous claims that they can balance the budget by just finding "efficiencies". Yet the first thing they do its cut taxes to make the defecit and budget shortfall worse, then they use that shortfall to justify slash-and-burn tactics under the guise of government "living within its means" (completely ignoring the fact that they massively reduced the 'means' in the first place). Voters usually fall for it at first, but when they get wise, they throw the bums out because it's not what they wanted.
So the moral of the story here is, reality sucks.
Ford goes on the campaign trail vowing to clean up the "gravy train" and when he gets into office, he finds out the gravy train isn't that bad and reality sets in that he's going to have to cut back or raise taxes massively to make the the difference.
That's bad.
On the flip side, you have McGuinty who promised no taxes, etc etc.
When he got into office, he realized that various departments were screwed. He taxed the shit out of everyone to get things in order.
That's good.
People rarely get what they want when they vote someone in. Often, reality smacks candidates in the face and they can't commit on their promised for obvious reasons....but reasons be damned....if you're Conservative.
I have no problem with what Dalton did in Ontario. If our MOH was in bad shape, we need to get more money for it.
In Toronto's case, they want to keep their taxes low (some of the lowest around) and yet continue to run deficits.
You can't have it both ways. Either maintain your existing services with large tax and fee increases or cut services.
Pick 1.
andyt @ Fri Sep 16, 2011 12:31 pm
Wow. I agree with everything you said here. (Except the value judgement). As BF and you have identified, people can't handle the truth. They want govt services and low taxes. What most middle class people don't realize is how much govt spending benefits them. They want to rave on about the welfare bums, when the middle class is the biggest beneficiary of govt spending. Even more so under Harper who targets his little tax exemptions specifically to toward them. And has been shown, the gravy train isn't nearly as big as people think. Sure there are stupid little programs that are just a waste of money, but they also don't cost the treasury that much.
So people have to decide - do we devolve toward the US, or evolve toward the Scandinavian system? Who seems to be enjoying a better life for the middle class? Or to recycle the quote from the Does a rising tide sink all boats thread: '
$1:
If you want to pursue the American dream, go to Norway
andyt andyt:
Wow. I agree with everything you said here. (Except the value judgement). As BF and you have identified, people can't handle the truth. They want govt services and low taxes. What most middle class people don't realize is how much govt spending benefits them. They want to rave on about the welfare bums, when the middle class is the biggest beneficiary of govt spending. Even more so under Harper who targets his little tax exemptions specifically to toward them. And has been shown, the gravy train isn't nearly as big as people think. Sure there are stupid little programs that are just a waste of money, but they also don't cost the treasury that much.
So people have to decide - do we devolve toward the US, or evolve toward the Scandinavian system? Who seems to be enjoying a better life for the middle class? Or to recycle the quote from the Does a rising tide sink all boats thread: '
$1:
If you want to pursue the American dream, go to Norway
People can't handle the truth. They expect unrealistic things from politicians than in the "real World" they would never expect.
Sometimes, reality sucks and it causes politicians and governments to reneg on promises to do what's best for the people. We do it in our daily lives and it happens in politics too.
I'm seriously considering voting Liberal in Ontario this election. I like what Dalton has done, despite the tax increases and I'm not a fan of Hudak or the Ontario PC party at all.
andyt @ Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:30 pm
Holy shit - you mean you're not a rabid CPC'r at all costs after all?
People not being able to handle the truth is the greatest danger to democracy. Didn't Jesus say something about that? People will follow someone who makes outrageous promises - right over a cliff, or towards totalitarianism, whether that be left or right.
I'm sure we disagree on specifics. I want a tax base to fund social programs that promote social cohesion and economic mobility, you want less taxes and people to take responsibility for themselves. I bet a reasonable compromise of those two ideals could be found that works. One that doesn't involve pols treating the govt treasury like their own little slush fund to bribe the electors with (who paid into that slush fund in the first place) But the only way that will happen is if people hold govt more accountable for their tax monies. Look at the corruption scandal in Quebec that's just erupting. My ideal for a pol would be Tommy Douglas - don't know who would stand out on the right, since Bob Stanfield was probably too left for you.
andyt andyt:
Holy shit - you mean you're not a rabid CPC'r at all costs after all?
People not being able to handle the truth is the greatest danger to democracy. Didn't Jesus say something about that? People will follow someone who makes outrageous promises - right over a cliff, or towards totalitarianism, whether that be left or right.
I'm sure we disagree on specifics. I want a tax base to fund social programs that promote social cohesion and economic mobility, you want less taxes and people to take responsibility for themselves. I bet a reasonable compromise of those two ideals could be found that works. One that doesn't involve pols treating the govt treasury like their own little slush fund to bribe the electors with (who paid into that slush fund in the first place) But the only way that will happen is if people hold govt more accountable for their tax monies. Look at the corruption scandal in Quebec that's just erupting. My ideal for a pol would be Tommy Douglas - don't know who would stand out on the right, since Bob Stanfield was probably too left for you.
I haven't always voted Conservative. In politics, we often assume those who vote left or right are "rabid" fans of that particular party. Not the case.
I'm with you on a lot of things, I think you got a little too far off the deep end with the poverty stuff, but I get that your heart is in the right place and that in the end, I hope we all want the same thing.
I'm for helping people. Social programs. However, I think we have to do these things in a financially responsible way....and sometimes that's painful for people to understand that we can't do everything for everyone.
Both the LPC and the CPC in Canada have been brutal spending wise....Ontario Liberals no different.
To be honest, I'm pretty apathetic towards politics these days.....same shit, different colour logo.
Lemmy @ Fri Sep 16, 2011 5:51 pm
OnTheIce OnTheIce:
I haven't always voted Conservative. In politics, we often assume those who vote left or right are "rabid" fans of that particular party. Not the case.
The myth is that the Conservatives are somehow right of the Liberals. They aren't.
OnTheIce OnTheIce:
I'm with you on a lot of things, I think you got a little too far off the deep end with the poverty stuff, but I get that your heart is in the right place and that in the end, I hope we all want the same thing.
I'm for helping people. Social programs. However, I think we have to do these things in a financially responsible way....and sometimes that's painful for people to understand that we can't do everything for everyone.
Both the LPC and the CPC in Canada have been brutal spending wise....Ontario Liberals no different.
To be honest, I'm pretty apathetic towards politics these days.....same shit, different colour logo.
Agreed. I share that apathy.
eureka @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:17 am
The latest posts show how the Right (and all Parties are there to some extent now) has managed to reduce life to money. It is all about taxes and people and human needs are forgotten.
Forgotten is that Canada, which used to be famously a caring society, has now the second highest poverty rate in the industrialized world.
Forgotten is the World Class Healthcare system that has been gutted in the name of lower taxes and corporate giveaways.
Forgotten is the relative equality that is the heart of democracy as this country rapidly tries to overtake the USA in the inequality of incomes, wealth, opportunity.
Forgotten is the shift of the burden of taxation from the corporate and wealthy to the Middle Classes and the poor.
I could do a dozen more but the picture would not benefit from more.
Apathy is not the answer. Anger is. Bring back government for people not for money.
andyt @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:25 am
I agree with you. But balanced against that has to be some of the excesses of earlier years where we spent like drunken sailors on all sorts of social programs. I think wealth re-distribution is a good thing, creates a healthier society. But that re-distribution needs to be done by people who turn every penny over six times before they spend it, who understand how to get value for the dollar, and who aren't driven by their own egos to act like royalty on the government dime and use government money to bribe the people who gave them that money in the first place. And as you say, aren't selling out to the rich.
But for the government it really does reduce all down to money - that's how governments show they care, and what they care about. And those governments are elected by us - so it shows our own priorities as we try to hang onto our own little slice of heaven and fuck everybody else.
eureka @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:35 am
I think, andy, that even the "Left" in Canada has been seduced by the incessant propaganda that has been going on since the late 1970s. In the USA, at that time, six think tanks were set up by wealthy families to develop and spread neocon ideas and reelect Republicans. They succeeded beyond their hopes, getting Reagan and the dominance of neocon ideology ever since.
Canada has followed suit. We have the C.D. Howe Institute and the Fraser Institute for much the same purposes and the same ideology has dominated since 1980.
The Nobel Prize winning economist, Amartya Sen, in a study several years ago, showed that there is no growth difference between high taxed economies and low taxed.
What he did not go on to show was that the high taxed economies have lower poverty, better Healthcare and Social programmes.
Further, some of those high taxed" economies in Europe have, since then, achieved higher growth rates than Canada and the USA.
Most of us have bought into the "con" of the "Conservative" tax mantras. They are economic nonsense. The Harper government is the worst exponent of the ideology that has yet appeared in the West. Worse than any US administration.
andyt @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:41 am
Again, I fully agree with you. I'm often told on this forum to move to Sweden or Norway since I bring them up as exemplars of how to manage an economy.
But take Norway. They didn't go on an orgy of spending with all their oil wealth. They invested it offshore (so it wouldn't cause inflation) and didn't just bribe the electorate with it. And the electorate seems to be smart enough to appreciate it and keep them in power. I've argued for higher taxes plenty on this forum, especially for the rich. But, the government collecting those taxes still needs to be prudent with them. Think about what they're spending and the effects it will have, if any. It's also a good way to get buy in from people who are more anti-tax if you show you're spending taxes in an effective way.
We know we were spending like drunken sailors in past decades because we ran up huge deficits in good years and in bad and had higher taxes to boot. We should pay as we go unless we really hit a bad patch, and then we should pay off the debt when times are good again. (if ever). We shouldn't create artificial deficits by cutting taxes to the bone, but we also shouldn't just always defer costs to next year, next year.
eureka @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:58 am
If you click on the additional information link embedded, you will get a spreadsheet of effective tax rates in the USA for 1979-2005. There is an overall reduction.
That is not to consider the shift in who bears the burden.
I would suggest that the reduction is the reason for the deficits and the deteriorating public services. I have never bought into the spending except for military spending in the USA. It is part of the myth and the Right's justification far saying that we cannot afford social programmes.
I think that the same applies to Canada.
andyt @ Sat Sep 17, 2011 12:10 pm
To a lesser degree yes, but we seem determined to walk down the same dead end as the US these days.
andyt andyt:
Again, I fully agree with you. I'm often told on this forum to move to Sweden or Norway since I bring them up as exemplars of how to manage an economy.
You bring them up on a constant basis. You create a new thread rehashing the same thing about twice, three times a month.
eureka @ Sun Sep 18, 2011 9:09 am
commanderkai commanderkai:
andyt andyt:
Again, I fully agree with you. I'm often told on this forum to move to Sweden or Norway since I bring them up as exemplars of how to manage an economy.
You bring them up on a constant basis. You create a new thread rehashing the same thing about twice, three times a month.
But is anyone giving them the attention they deserve?
andyt @ Sun Sep 18, 2011 9:26 am
eureka eureka:
commanderkai commanderkai:
andyt andyt:
Again, I fully agree with you. I'm often told on this forum to move to Sweden or Norway since I bring them up as exemplars of how to manage an economy.
You bring them up on a constant basis. You create a new thread rehashing the same thing about twice, three times a month.
But is anyone giving them the attention they deserve?
Nope. It's a lonely row I hoe.