Ted Kennedy died.
38 months ago he took his Massachusetts seat with 69% of the vote. He held that seat for 47 years, and took it over from his brother John. The district is often referred to as "the Kennedy seat". Ted Kennedy died, but the title remained.
After Kennedy's death the Democrats began the tedious process of filling "the Kennedy Seat". They chose Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley. That was December 8. Christmas was coming. Martha, secure in "the Kennedy seat", ignored any possible threat of a Republican challenge in the upcoming vote which would decide which party holds the seat. The incidental threat of a Republican move on "the Kennedy Seat" just didn't figure. The polls showed they weren't even on the radar. Martha set about decking her halls, and enjoying her Christmas vacation. Campaign? What's that? Why bother? Massachusetts is mine, she thought.
Enter Scott Brown. Brown was Martha's Republican challenger. Not even the Republican party thought he had a snowball's chance of making a dint with the electorate. The Republican deciders gave Brown little if any support. Nevertheless Brown did not share their pessimism. He jumped in his black pickup truck, and started driving around the district shaking hands. As Martha lay comfortably on her divan sipping toddies, Brown stood, bundled up in his winter coat outside Fenway park where an outdoors hockey game was taking place, shaking hands.
Brown began to make ripples. Fantasy musings began to pop up on right wing blogs. What if Scott Brown somehow did the impossible, and challenged Coakley for "the Kennedy Seat". He wouldn't have to win. He'd just have to be a threat. Maybe he could somehow get close enough to make the Democrats take notice of a growing threat of change in voter opinion. If this happened maybe, just maybe Democrats would think twice about angering the populace in anticipation of the 2010 mid-term elections in November. Maybe they might even hesitate on voting in this increasingly unpopular healthcare bill. It was a pleasant imagining for them, but not even for them was it credible at that point. It was unicorns and pixie dust.
Then the Massachusetts candidate's debate happened. The moderator asked Brown a question concerning how he could possibly consider voting against healthcare, sitting in the "the Kennedy's seat". Brown replied "It's not the Kennedy's seat. It's the People's Seat", and that was it - the rallying cry. Things changed rapidly after that.
First of all there were Martha's gaffes. Finally realizing she was in an actual election race, she dashed madly into action, and made mistake after mistake.
* On Brown at Fenway, she said, "“As opposed to standing outside Fenway Park? In the cold? Shaking hands?". This was seen as an implied diss of the beloved Fenway, and the people who held it as an icon of their culture.
* Curt Schilling, the legendary pitcher for the Boston Red Sox responded, ""There are just so many things wrong with that statement...Her elitism and arrogance ... the apparent feeling that the seat belongs to her just by virtue of her party...Has she forgotten who she's talking to? What state she's wanting to represent in the Senate?". Martha's reply to that was "Schilling's a Yankees fan". Let's understate that statement from Martha, and just call it absurd.
* Looking for a quick fix of campaign cash Martha jumped on a plane, zipped quietly down to Washington, and appeared, hat in hand, before big pharmacare and other lobbyists begging bucks. Her presence was discovered by journalists. One inquired information of her concerning another of her more ludicrous statements. She claimed there were no terrorists in Afghanistan. Martha turned regally away, and asked the other peon reporters if they had any other questions.
* It didn't end there though. The reporter followed Martha out the door, and asked a second question. At that point a large, burly campaign manager, recently appointed by Democrat headquarters, appeared before the reporter, and pushed him over a fence. (It's on YouTube). Attorney General, Coakley claimed she did not see the assault. However there's a clear picture of her watching the incident happen. The pic quickly made the internet rounds.
* Then there was the Catholic diss. Martha suggested Catholics should not work in emergency rooms, where their pro-choice objections might be challenged.
* On returning from Washington, her pockets stuffed with Lobbyist cash, Martha finally charged in battle. She began to campaign. Apparently the way a Martha Coakley campaign is run, is you place yourself as far away as possible from the proles on the street, and feed peon ad executives cash to attack your opposition. The attack ads have not been popular. People don't like them. There has been a backlash.
What has happened as a result of all this is there has been shift in the polls. Martha's victory is no longer a given. Even her own internal poll had Scott Brown ahead by 2 yesterday. Today they appear to have magically evened out. However even "even" is not good.
If Scott Brown somehow miraculously pulls off one of the political upsets of the century on Tuesday it changes the whole political environment in America. He would hold what may be the deciding vote on the healthcare bill. Beyond that though, Democrats in general would have to think twice about supporting the unpopular policies of the Obama regime, in general. What was just a clue, becomes a hammer over the head, telling those Democrats holding seats they're about to lose their jobs in November.
I told you all that, and it wasn't really necessary. I could have just shown you this...
If Brown wins, Coakley has nobody to blame but herself. There are some stupid comments "Ted Kennedy's seat" but woo, some of the stupid statements after that were astounding.
Obama's efforts to travel to influence opinion have tended to fail thus far - Chicago Olympic bid, Copenhagen, New York elections.
He preferred not to risk another failure with a trip to Massachusetts. However so much is riding on this particular election he had to change his mind at the last minute, and take the chance of stumping for Coakley.
He got heckled there today...bad...
Doesn't matter much. Obama couldn't even fill the hall anyway.
Standing room only at the Brown rally across town though.
we'll be watching
This is not as huge an election as it seems. Even if Brown wins, he only holds the seat for two years as it returns to it's regular election schedule in 2012. By that time the Massacrewcut Democrats should have a candidate that isn't a total putz lined up by then and reclaim the seat.
This won't be a pro-Brown vote or an anti-Obama one (despite all the premature gloating of some). It's a purely anti-Coakley vote and the voters are reacting against one of the most horrible choices the DNC has ever shoved down their throats.
And if Brown wins, it won't be a pro-Teabagger victory either. There's none of the silly Palinesque nihilist populist nonsense being put on the table here. That garbage might work for the 'real Americans' in places like Dixie but in New England that entire line of thought is deader than dead.
Teabagger = nihilist. Offers nothing of substance but incohate and mindless rage. Classic mob with pitchforks and torches badly disguised as so-called revolutionaries, patriots, common folk, and the only "real Americans" in the entire country. In other words, a total fraud manufactured by FOX News.
Relax, your precious right-wing corporatist state will be in friendly hands regardless. Barack Obama raised $2.1 million from drug companies in 2008. That's about equal to what John McCain raised plus what George Bush raised in both of his elections. It's the most by far any candidate has raised from the drug industry.
One week before the election Coakley flew to be with a group of corporate lobbyists:
"With Democrat Martha Coakley in trouble in the Massachusetts special election to fill Ted Kennedy's seat, Democrats could lose vote No. 60 for President Obama's health-care bill. In response, an army of lobbyists for drug companies, health insurance companies, and hospitals has teamed up to throw a high-dollar Capitol Hill fundraiser for Coakley next Tuesday night...
Of the 22 names on the host committee--meaning they raised $10,000 or more for Coakley--17 are federally registered lobbyists, 15 of whom have health-care clients. Of the other five hosts, one is married to a lobbyist, one was a lobbyist in Pennsylvania, another is a lawyer at a lobbying firm, and another is a corporate CEO. Oh, and of course, there's also the political action commitee for Boston Scientific Corporation.
All the leading drug companies have lobbyists on Coakley's host committee: Pfizer, Merck, Amgen, Sanofi-Aventis, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Astra-Zeneca, and more. On the insurance side of things, Blue Cross/Blue Shield, Cigna, Humana, HealthSouth, and United Health all are represented on the host committee."
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/Coakley-in-trouble-Pharma-and-HMO-lobbyists-to-the-rescue-81067542.html
Why does any of this matter to Canada?