Canada Kicks Ass
Warming may bring mass extinctions: study

REPLY

Previous  1 ... 11  12  13  14  15  16  17 ... 24  Next



Omega @ Sat Nov 03, 2007 8:46 pm

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
Yeah well! They keep coming up with chickenshit graphs which prove nothing other than how unscrupulous the "researcher " is.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
They're not my graphs. They're your supporters' graphs. I have come up with no graphs at all. You are a laugh riot.

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
Did you know what the Alarmists did about Tuvalu not sinking when they claimed it was? The tidal guages installed in 1979 showed a decrease in sea level. Problem solved! They are now claiming Tuvalu to be flooding because somebody has removed the tidal guages.

Wow, so because science has been wrong in the past all science is wrong. Great logic there. So the sun isn't really hot, water isn't really wet, and the sky isn't really blue, and the Earth isn't really an sphere. Flat perhaps. Science is all wrong so it must be all false! :roll:

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
The big embarrassment is Nancy Pelosi went to Greenland to see for herself and returned saying that Greenland was indeed melting-----Yeah that's what happens every year in July. Maybe, when she was a kid, her daddy brought her to Canada, complete with toboggan, in July.

The experts who are saying that Greenland is melting are basing that on a year-to-year basis and not a season-to-season basis. You are too easy. Next...

   



sasquatch2 @ Sat Nov 03, 2007 8:57 pm

No you are too easy.

The problem is you confuse science with "the science" which is BS propaganda.

Weather stations have been in Greenland a long long time.

2 land stations in southern Greenland and 3 SST (sea surface temperature monitors.

Their records indicate 1941 was the hottest Greenland got after the LIA....and has been cooling since at a fairly regular rate......Eric's farm Brathihilde on Eriksfyord opposite Narnansuuq is still permafrost----a farm that grew barley, supported sheep horse and cattle from 1000 AD to about 1300AD.

The Greenland Gore didn't tell you about

$1:
The Greenland ice sheet would appear to have experienced no net loss of mass
over the last decade for which data are available. Quite to the contrary, in
fact, it was likely host to a net accumulation of ice, which Zwally et al. found
to be producing a 0.03 ± 0.01 mm/year decline in sea-level.


$1:
Hence, we can be thankful that whatever the rest of the Northern Hemisphere
may be doing, the part that holds the lion's share of the hemisphere's ice has
been cooling for the past half-century, and at a very significant rate, making
it ever more unlikely that its horde of frozen water will be released to the
world's oceans to raise havoc with global sea level any time soon.

   



N_Fiddledog @ Sat Nov 03, 2007 10:12 pm

Here's what I'm hearing from I don't know how many sources in the recent months - "There's been no warming since 1998".

Here's what I'm seeing in the graphs below you tell me don't say that. A spike to 1998. After that I see nothing telling me it's ever gotten warmer than it was in 1998. In other words it's peaked and leveled off. Yes the lines go up, then they go down then they go up again, but they never indicate a warming from 1998.

But go ahead tell me I don't see what my eyes tell me they see. Tell me black is white. Oh wait, I just looked into my crystal ball. Now we're going to argue about what the words mean when they say "no warming since 1998" right.

Image

Image

Image

In fact here's the graph the warmers used to love to post, except now it goes past 2001. It used to just rise magically towards some imaginary Al Gore catastrophe level. Unless I'm blind, it now also shows temperatures starting to level off.

Image

   



Zipperfish @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 12:00 am

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
No you are too easy.

The problem is you confuse science with "the science" which is BS propaganda.

Weather stations have been in Greenland a long long time.

2 land stations in southern Greenland and 3 SST (sea surface temperature monitors.

Their records indicate 1941 was the hottest Greenland got after the LIA....and has been cooling since at a fairly regular rate......Eric's farm Brathihilde on Eriksfyord opposite Narnansuuq is still permafrost----a farm that grew barley, supported sheep horse and cattle from 1000 AD to about 1300AD.

The Greenland Gore didn't tell you about

$1:
The Greenland ice sheet would appear to have experienced no net loss of mass
over the last decade for which data are available. Quite to the contrary, in
fact, it was likely host to a net accumulation of ice, which Zwally et al. found
to be producing a 0.03 ± 0.01 mm/year decline in sea-level.


$1:
Hence, we can be thankful that whatever the rest of the Northern Hemisphere
may be doing, the part that holds the lion's share of the hemisphere's ice has
been cooling for the past half-century, and at a very significant rate, making
it ever more unlikely that its horde of frozen water will be released to the
world's oceans to raise havoc with global sea level any time soon.


Yes, but you don't even accept that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas in principle--an observation that ahs been completely accetped for over a hundred years now, so you'll have to excuse people if they really don't take your thoughts on sciecne very seriously. That and your posts are teh equivalent of an outrgaed purple-assed baboon shreiking in a tree and flinging feces at people.

   



Zipperfish @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 12:09 am

N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
Here's what I'm hearing from I don't know how many sources in the recent months - "There's been no warming since 1998".


I bet you'll continue to hear that. Not because that is what is actually happening, but because you're preferred sources are sites like blogspot and junkscience.com--the only sources you seem to be able to find that supports the crap you are trying to peddle.




Here's what I'm seeing in the graphs below you tell me don't say that. A spike to 1998. After that I see nothing telling me it's ever gotten warmer than it was in 1998. In other words it's peaked and leveled off. Yes the lines go up, then they go down then they go up again, but they never indicate a warming from 1998.

But go ahead tell me I don't see what my eyes tell me they see. Tell me black is white. Oh wait, I just looked into my crystal ball. Now we're going to argue about what the words mean when they say "no warming since 1998" right.

...
In fact here's the graph the warmers used to love to post, except now it goes past 2001. It used to just rise magically towards some imaginary Al Gore catastrophe level. Unless I'm blind, it now also shows temperatures starting to level off.

Image[/quote]

The last graph (surface temperature anomolies) clearly shows a positive slope and therefore a warming trend. I know you';d have us believe that this is an "illusion" to use your term.

So what do you have? First of all you tried your statistical prestidigitation (the "Averaging method") that backfired on you and indicated the opposite of what you were trying to say. You've got a whole bunch of links to junkscience.com and blogspot. The one primary source link you do have, the University of East Anglia, (from whence the bottom graph comes) again shows a warming trend since 1998 given the positive slope of the graph.

So you've got your tropospheric temperature graphs--the single legitimate point you've made from the start, but you don't even know it because you are too busy trying to cherry-pick data that fits your preconcevied notion of how things should be insetad of actually trying to learn about the issue.

Conclusion: You are smoking blow up everyone's ass.

   



Omega @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 12:08 pm

N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
Image

Again, your own graphs are showing that there's been a general warming trend ever since mankind began using fossil fuels.

   



N_Fiddledog @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 3:27 pm

And again genius. It isn't my graph. It's one from Zipperhead's link. And again, I'll tell you why I posted it.

Even though it's a selected graph to make a pro-AGW point it doesn't show what they want it to.

As was pointed out it's an anomaly graph. I'm not a graph expert, but this is the way I understand it. They take global mean highs, then global mean lows, and somehow average an arc to form curves.

This practice led to this bullshit graph I was seeing Alarmists post as recent as a few weeks ago. It ended in 2001. and looked something like this (except you only used to see the red line).

Image

OK so here's what I see there. The line rises to 2001, and from what's presented would appear to keep rising somewhere off-graph at Al Gore catastrophic temperatures. The gap between high and low is much greater in 1998 than it is in the 2005 range. The line of the curve used however shows an arc complimentary to global warmers eyes. Something they don't call attention to however is the high of 1998 is a peak never again reached.

That was what they were presenting a few weeks ago. As they got challenged by more and more by reference to the fact there's been no warming since 1998 we started to see this one.

Image

Here we enter "pay no attention to the man behind the screen" territory. Notice at the end even with the alarmist selected graph, temperatures start to level off. Of course you don't. I'll show it to you close up, and you'll still say it isn't there.

Here's the end of the line the way they used to show it

Image

Here's the way they show it now

Image

The temperatures are leveling off.

Wanna see it even clearer? Here's one from Wikipedia which they say comes from "Climate Research Unit" data, "developed in conjunction with Hadley Centre of the UK Met". It shows Northern, Southern and Global anomalies.

Image

The temperatures are leveling off. In fact in the South they're dropping. Also even with these contrived arcs if you do a little detective work on the first 2 graphs you'll see there has been no warming since the 1998 peak.

Now to Zip. I remember you were having a 5 page argument with yourself about averages. I have no idea if it presented anything like a point. I know you'd pop in from time to time and to inform me you were winning your argument. I ignored it. It had nothing to do with what we were discussing, which was has there been warming since 1998. I was busy searching for pictures explaining the actual scientific data. I wanted them in a form even you would understand. I see now that's easier said than done. Did I go to skeptic sites. Of course. That's were they keep the information for the average guy. It still originates at research centers as you would have seen had you read the attached URL's, or read the descriptions from the posted links. As usual with the Gorons, they only see what they want to see. Nevertheless the data doesn't stop being data just because you don't like the site that posts it.

   



Blue_Nose @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 3:37 pm

N_Fiddledog ,

If you look at those graphs in the region of the obvious upward trend, there's three or four points at which the graphs "level off", and several regions at which they start to decline - after which they continue to rise as per the upward trend.

You're simply ignoring the overall increase and looking at two or three years as proof of a new trend. There's no conclusive evidence from those few silly little pieces of data you snipped from the graphs and claimed were proof that temperatures were "leveling off".

   



N_Fiddledog @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 3:48 pm

NO, no, no. See this is what happens when people come into the middle of a discussion and think they understand what's going on.

I'll be quite happy to discuss trends with you, after the main point has been established. You might even be surprised to find me agreeing on some of what you say. However this began, because Zip refused to acknowledge a simple black and white fact. There's been no warming since the 1998 peak.

If you guys would stop calling black white on that one question, we'd be discussing trends, and you'd have an actual point, some of which I'd have to concede.

   



Blue_Nose @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 3:57 pm

I understand what's going on - I understand your understanding of interpretting data is pedestrian.

1998 was exceptionally warm- the increase in temperatures is well above the expected trend.

You can't count that as proof that the trend isn't occuring - if you didn't include 1998 at all, the temperatures are still increasing.

Again, one year is not suffiecient to claim the trend has peaked and is now declining. The variability between subsequent years is greater than the "leveling off" you claim to see.

   



sasquatch2 @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 4:27 pm

Blue Nose

$1:
$1:
N_Fiddledog ,

If you look at those graphs in the region of the obvious upward trend, there's three or four points at which the graphs "level off", and several regions at which they start to decline - after which they continue to rise as per the upward trend.


You're simply ignoring the overall increase and looking at two or three years as proof of a new trend. There's no conclusive evidence from those few silly little pieces of data you snipped from the graphs and claimed were proof that temperatures were "leveling off".


Yeah Fiddledog----all those site you produce are obviously right wing, oil funded denial. Heresy.

The test of whether science is valid is:

Does it show the Polar Bears are melting..
Does it show that the IPCC is an impartial, responsibile, apolitical consensus.

Anything which in any manner questions any fraction of "THE SCIENCE" is propaganda.

Unless you embrace CO2 AGW you are a poopy-head. Suzuki told me so.

Right wing, Oil Funded research is anything regardless it's funding that produces a result counter to new religion. Cherry picked data, "adjusted" to support CO2 AGW is beyond question and anyone who questions it is an enemy of the people.

Be very careful Fiddledog these folk are dangerous.

   



Blue_Nose @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 4:36 pm

shit for brains shit for brains:
Yeah Fiddledog----all those site you produce are obviously right wing, oil funded denial. Heresy.
I didn't comment on any sites anyone produced. I challenged the argument that a single outlying piece of data is conclusive evidence of a changing trend.

I made no comment on the sources of this data nor the validity of it, even - merely his pisspoor interpretation of relatively simple trend fitting.

I challenge you to point out a single instance where I mentioned "right wing" and/or "oil funded" in any discussion of global warming. You're just a fool on autopilot.

   



Zipperfish @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 4:54 pm

N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
NO, no, no. See this is what happens when people come into the middle of a discussion and think they understand what's going on.

I'll be quite happy to discuss trends with you, after the main point has been established. You might even be surprised to find me agreeing on some of what you say. However this began, because Zip refused to acknowledge a simple black and white fact. There's been no warming since the 1998 peak.

If you guys would stop calling black white on that one question, we'd be discussing trends, and you'd have an actual point, some of which I'd have to concede.


Blue Nose does understand what's going on. He's quite good with science. You've been trying for several pages now to no avail. It's not a "fact" that there's been no warming since 1998. You seem to think that this should be some universally accepted basis from which to start your argument. Yet you've failed to show it.


A simple balck and whiote observation (in science, we tend to eschew the term "fact") would be that 1998 had the largest positive anomaly for measurement of troposperhic temperatures according to most sources. However you keep trying to parlay this into "it's a simple fact that there has been no wamring since 1998" which is a different ketttle of fish altogetehr.

   



sasquatch2 @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 5:00 pm

Zipperfish

$1:
Blue Nose does understand what's going on. He's quite good with science.


Translation........he agrees with you......

It's sorta like the non-existent consensus..........

Actually I notice a direct parallel to the events of Oct 30, 1938.

   



Zipperfish @ Sun Nov 04, 2007 5:07 pm

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
Zipperfish
$1:
Blue Nose does understand what's going on. He's quite good with science.


Translation........he agrees with you......

It's sorta like the non-existant consensus..........


No, Blue Nose started the "Science Puzzle of the Day thread." He's involved in virtually every sceince thread there is--he obviously has a passing interest in the subject. I don't know that Blue Nose does agree with me--I think he's more of a sceptic, if I recall some earlier comments he's made.

   



REPLY

Previous  1 ... 11  12  13  14  15  16  17 ... 24  Next