Canada Kicks Ass
Warming may bring mass extinctions: study

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neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 9:43 am

PluggyRug PluggyRug:
Omega Omega:
PluggyRug PluggyRug:
The computer models can. :wink:


Myth: We can't trust computer models

NewScientist.com


Even though the climate is chaotic to some extent, it can be predicted long in advance.



You should first lookup and then attempt to expand your blinkered analysis around the computer term GIGO. Shuffling cards is also a good teacher.

Stock market crashes are are direct result of global warming.
Global temperatures follow the rise in the stock market.
Pick one and run with it.


And why is it that you assume that the models they are using are Garbage in?

   



neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 9:49 am

Brenda Brenda:
You were the one insulting me, and I did not "basically say you have low intelligence" unless you mean you are saying that I have. I said, you not reading the link provided by Zip, and telling me I am a moron for not providing that link (which, when you did read it, should be clear I quoted Zip's link) says more about your intelligence then mine. You obviously didn't link that link to my quote, which proves to me you didn't even read that link. Nice way of debating...

So, keep me out of your insults, okay? Thanks.


Well he insulted you after you attacked me because I asked you to provide a link to your quote. You remember, the thread full of your condescending eye roll emoticons?

I don't need to read every link or post in the thread. I have the right to pick a random post and disagree with what that person says. It's your job in your argument to provide context for your sources.

Keep you out of it? You started the "holier-than-thou" bullshit.

   



Brenda @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 9:55 am

neopundit neopundit:
Brenda Brenda:
You were the one insulting me, and I did not "basically say you have low intelligence" unless you mean you are saying that I have. I said, you not reading the link provided by Zip, and telling me I am a moron for not providing that link (which, when you did read it, should be clear I quoted Zip's link) says more about your intelligence then mine. You obviously didn't link that link to my quote, which proves to me you didn't even read that link. Nice way of debating...

So, keep me out of your insults, okay? Thanks.


Well he insulted you after you attacked me because I asked you to provide a link to your quote. You remember, the thread full of your condescending eye roll emoticons?

I don't need to read every link or post in the thread. I have the right to pick a random post and disagree with what that person says. It's your job in your argument to provide context for your sources.

Keep you out of it? You started the "holier-than-thou" bullshit.


So YOU are the one to call me on that, right? Not him.

Anyway, I posted that post directly under Zip's who provided that link, which when you would have read that, would have been totally clear what I was quoting. I see absolutely no use in linking links that have been linked to in the previous post.

It was an important link in this discussion, so if you didn't read that link, your contribution to this topic is useless anyway.

Thank you for agreeing with me he insulted me, which he claims he didn't do ;-)

   



neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:18 am

Brenda Brenda:
It was an important link in this discussion, so if you didn't read that link, your contribution to this topic is useless anyway.


I don't care if the thread is about chocolate vs. vanilla, if I see someone say 1 + 1 = 3 I'm going to question that.

My contribution to the topic is useless? Well I guess that's typical for this forum, dismissing someone's view purely arbitrarily. Find an excuse, ANY excuse to dismiss an argument.

   



Brenda @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:21 am

ROTFL ROTFL

I said 1 + 1 = 3???

Yeah, that is not dissmissing an argument. Right :lol:

   



neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:30 am

Brenda Brenda:
ROTFL ROTFL

I said 1 + 1 = 3???

Yeah, that is not dissmissing an argument. Right :lol:


Huh? I can't believe I have to explain this...

It was ananalogy.

Brenda: Your opinion is irrelevant to the topic if you don't read every link.

Neopundit: No. Say there is a thread in which people argue "chocolate is better than vanilla", within which someone argues 1+1=3. I don't need to read every link about chocolate to argue that 1+1 does not, in fact, equal 3. There for my opinion is not irrelevant to the topic if I do not read every link.

See how that works?

   



Brenda @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:42 am

You claim you don't have to read every link to have an opinion and state it. I think that is ignorant, because you don't base your argument on the links provided, but on your personal opinion, which is not gonna change or able to be argued if you don't listen to what other people say.

You cannot debate if you don't wanna listen.

   



neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:52 am

Brenda Brenda:
You claim you don't have to read every link to have an opinion and state it. I think that is ignorant, because you don't base your argument on the links provided, but on your personal opinion, which is not gonna change or able to be argued if you don't listen to what other people say.

You cannot debate if you don't wanna listen.


I can't help it if you don't understand this concept. First of all, I don't need to read anything to have an opinion, and that is repeatedly demonstrated on this forum.

Second, I wasn't "arguing" anything. I asked for a source. I asked for a source because at that moment I felt the contents of said source were relevant. I wasn't required to read it up until that point.

If I'm arguing about the contents of an article without reading the article (which is ludicrous), you have a case. I wasn't. Saying I can't argue anything without reading every link is wrong.

Case in point? We're arguing about something right now that has nothing to to with Zip's link.

Anyway, this is wasting space.

   



Zipperfish @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:52 am

N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
Wait a minute now Zip, I think I'm starting to get this.

Bart Simpson is talking about the claim global mean temperatures averaged out say temperatures haven't risen since 1998.

We'll use your NASA data to show the truth of that. (I'm told by a pro-AGW guy this is "the NASA GISTEMP data set for Global Annual Mean Surface Air Temperature Change". The column in the middle is annual

1998 .57 .38
1999 .33 .42
2000 .33 .45
2001 .48 .45
2002 .56 .48
2003 .55 .54
2004 .49 .55
2005 .62 *
2006 .54 *

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.A2.txt

As I recall you called the choosing of 1998 "Cherry picking" because 1998 was an El Nino year.

I then quoted Carter on his observance if you correct for El Nino, there's been no warming averaged out since 1979.

So that ended that. The next time the subject came up you quoted the NASA data. OK, I admit I missed your trick of language their. You appeared to be saying Bart Simpson's observation of no warming since 1998 was incorrect, and look at 2005. It's the warmest year since the little ice age. I thought you were still talking averages.

But now you're talking clearer, I get it. What you're saying now is simply 2005 was a warm year, right? Well it was. It was also an El Nino year. You tell me that matters right? So yes the El Nino year of 2005 was what? some fraction of a degree warmer than 1998. However this does not disprove Bart Simpson's observance. Averaged out there has been no warming since 1998.

But let's not bicker unnecessarily. If you average out the years there's been no warming since 1998. If you factor out El Nino there's been no warming since 1979. You agree that statement is correct, right? Be a big boy about it, and I'll show you something.

Here's a graph done by a pro-AGW guy.

Image

So, even though Bart is correct about the averages showing no warming since 1998, if you look at the graph it appears to show a general rise up until 2005.

So really all you've got here is people arguing about tricks of language. Nevertheless it is true. Averaged out there has been no rise in temperatures since 1998, and if you correct for El Nino, there has been no rise since 1979.


It seems pretty clear to me from the data you provided that the average mean temperature and the five year mean temperature are positive from 1998 to 2006, indicating above average tempratures. So if you are saying that no warming since 1998, I don't think those data support that. Consistent above average mean temperatures indicate a warming trend. Even in the short timne period since 1998, there has been one year that exceeded 1998 in average temperature and a few years that approached it.

Note also that 1998 was particualrly strong El Nino year, and I did specify this in my above comments. The Wikipedia article you provided a link to states:

$1:
The El Niño of 1997 - 1998 was particularly strong [16] and brought the phenomenon to worldwide attention. The event temporarilly warmed air temperature by 3°F, compared to the usual increase of .5°F associated with El Niño events


I couldn't see the graph you printed, but the supposition that their has been no warming since 1979 doesn't seem to be supported by the data I've seen.

   



Brenda @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:55 am

$1:
I can't help it if you don't understand this concept.


WHAAAAAAHHHHHHH, you say I have low intelligence! [/sarcasm]


We obvioulsy disagree on the rest of your post.


$1:
Anyway, this is wasting space.


Yes, it is, thank you.

   



neopundit @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:59 am

Zipperfish Zipperfish:
It seems pretty clear to me from the data you provided that the average mean temperature and the five year mean temperature are positive from 1998 to 2006, indicating above average tempratures. So if you are saying that no warming since 1998, I don't think those data support that. Consistent above average mean temperatures indicate a warming trend.


I'm no climatologist, but I do have a meager knowledge of statistics. Based on that I'd have to say it's irrelevant to base any analysis of climate variations on 8 years of data.

In fact, in comparison to the 4.5 billion years the earth has been around, it's pretty ludicrous to look at the sample from 1975-2007 and make assumptions about warming or cooling.

   



sasquatch2 @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 12:37 pm

But But But

----4 drowned Polar Bears by a storm
and a clip of an Argentine glacier calving into a fresh water land -locked lake, represented as antarctica or greenland depending on the movie
is proof positive of GLOWBULL Warming........
having your favourite graph or data discredited is just heresy and irrelevant

----GAI is offended---bring on the virgins.

The birth rate in Northern Europe is declinning....
The population of STORKS in northern Europe is declinning...

THIS IS PROOF THAT STORKS BRING BABIES?

   



Zipperfish @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 3:18 pm

neopundit neopundit:

Anyway, this is wasting space.


Nonsnese, I'm enjoying every minute of it. Throw another tomato. :lol:

   



BartSimpson @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 3:21 pm

Tomato as requested:

Unless we have a sudden spate of activity, 2007 will be just as calm as 2006 in the hurricane department.

Can't wait to see you people claim that all the good, stable weather is because of global warming.

   



Zipperfish @ Mon Oct 29, 2007 3:34 pm

sasquatch2 sasquatch2:
But But But

----4 drowned Polar Bears by a storm
and a clip of an Argentine glacier calving into a fresh water land -locked lake, represented as antarctica or greenland depending on the movie
is proof positive of GLOWBULL Warming........
having your favourite graph or data discredited is just heresy and irrelevant

----GAI is offended---bring on the virgins.

The birth rate in Northern Europe is declinning....
The population of STORKS in northern Europe is declinning...

THIS IS PROOF THAT STORKS BRING BABIES?


Do you have any original thoughts on the subject Samsquanch. I mean other than times when you've copied other people's prose and tried to claim it for your own, it's pretty much the same nonsense over and over again, isn't it? A lot of capital letters and emoticons; lots of aggressive displays from the board's resident purple-assed baboon and concommitant flinging of feces.

I notice of late, a slightly more hysterical tone; insinuations that any one that doesn't subscribe to your point of view is a Nazi. Is this perhaps indicative of an incipient meltdown? Wouldn't that be ironic? We would finally have conclusive proof of global warming: it caused a Samsquanch meltdown.

Image

   



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