Get Off HIs Back - By Ben Stein 9/4/2005
DerbyX @ Mon Sep 12, 2005 12:18 am
Jaime_Souviens Jaime_Souviens:
DerbyX DerbyX:
Jaime_Souviens Jaime_Souviens:
DerbyX DerbyX:
You are wrong. All those great intellects of the past sought to explain what they observed (the very essence of science).
You have a very idealized/naive view of Science.
Galileo knew that the Earth moved first, and then set our to find his data. He didn't just start dropping things around the house for the hell of it, and then started writing about it.
Likewise Newton.
Likewise Einstein.
Likewise Darwin.
And all the rest...
The idea comes first, then the observations.
Otherwise, you'd just be observing
everything.
So, not only do you not have a point,...
it's another instance of you screeching that I have 'missed' your point because of my incorrigible obtuseness, when actually you're just being a stubborn twit, and I've refused to go along with you on it.
No one here misses your points, they're not that sophisticated.
This was quite frankly one of the few debates I didn't accuse you of missing the point and it was going quite amicably until you pushed it in the opposite direction. You didn't miss the poin you are just wrong.
Ahem...
DerbyX DerbyX:
You did not understand my point. The global warming theory wes researched and put forth bu people who were investigating the link between global warming and increased CO2 levels. Your scientists are people who did not believe this and set out deliberately to disprove this.
DerbyX DerbyX:
My degree's are in science (biology & medical) and I don't yours are. If they were then you would know that what I said about science seeking to xplain the observable is absolutely correct. Gallileo after having developed the telescope eventually found jupiter and observed the mmons around them. He concluded that their movements are consistent with objects moving around another object.
That is essentially now Darwin came about the "origins of the species". He observed the local birds on the islands and the differences and pondered this.
Edward Jenner (father of vacinations) observed that milk maids almost never suffered from small pox even when exposed. He observed that they often work with cattle infected with a smiliar disease and surmised a connection. He scraped the cow pustles and "innoculated" his son with the scrapings then later exposed his son to real small pox. His son was protected. Thus we have a medical procedure hat has saved more lives then virtually everything else because a scientist sought to explain what he had observed.
You don't want to believe their is a connection then don't. I do. Others do. A majority of reputable scientists do. We will procede on that assumption an attempt to alleviate the problem. Nothing more you say means anything. Adios mate!
That's just not true. Galileo got an earth-centered system from Copernicus, and then set out to prove it,
i.e., idea first, then observations to prove it.
Darwin, same thing, idea of natural selection first, then observations to prove it. Darwin was clever enough to write the Origin of Species in such a way as to claim that the observations forced the conclusions upon him, but that was more to escape religious criticism. However, Darwin was outed on his methods probably a decade ago.
Idea first, observations second has been the method for every inventor/discoverer.
If you think it makes no sense the other way around. Why observe planets and note their movements if you don't think there's something worth finding? Why keep track if you don't know what you're looking for?
$1:
The increase of solar magnetism has been about 131 percent over the last 91 years. From 1964 to 1996 the Sun’s magnetism has increased by 41 percent. This brightening has occurred during the same time as the measured surface warming experienced on Earth.
You are just plain wrong. I've read "Origin of the species" have you? Moreover, Ive studied evolution and the scientific method. You have not. Science seeks to explain the observable. That dosen't mean that they don't develop a theory first then set up experiments to deliberately test this. Antibiotics were developed because someone had accidentily had mold contamination on an innoculated petridish and
observed the lack of cell growth around the mold colonies.
IceOwl IceOwl:
Jaime_Souviens Jaime_Souviens:
This is also in response to IceOwl's pointless political paranoia in a previous post.
It's not pointless, nor is it paranoia. But, we should come to expect this kind of denial from you, the headmaster of Google U.
And vague answers and vacuous, non-committal comments that lack any significant substance are what we've come to expect from you.
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
What do you do when someone insists that two and two are five?
I assume that he went to a public school, is a liberal, and that he believes
geologists predict the weather. I also vote against him in the next election.
He is not the one denying the empirical observation that the average recorded temperature of the earth has increased since the 1850s.
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
What do you do when someone insists that two and two are five?
I assume that he went to a public school, is a liberal, and that he believes
geologists predict the weather. I also vote against him in the next election.
He is not the one denying the empirical observation that the average recorded temperature of the earth has increased since the 1850s.
I'm not denying it, I'm just saying that global temps have been far warmer in human history than they are now and the same climatologists who jump to conclusions and say that global warming is caused by pollution were the same fools who said the micro-cooling trend of the late 60's into the early 70's was a lead in to a global
cooling crisis caused by the same pollution.
Except that the world did not freeze over by 1980 as they predicted it would unless we stopped burning fossil fuels.
The only conclusion I can see in all of this is that Western Civilization and capitalism cause global warming while Communism and etc. are so wonderful for the environment.
Except that the countries that do the most to preserve the environment are Western, civilized, and capitalist.
The ones that do the least are not.
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
"I believe in God" = "I believe in global warming"
They are no different. Both are statements of faith.
or
"I believe in God" = "I believe in evolution"
I would disgaree. Belief in god invokes the supernatural, wheras belief in science necessarily prohibits the supernatural as an explanation for phenomona.
It is perfectly reasonable to say "Based on the evidence presented to me, I conclude that the probability is human-casued emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere are resulting in measurable change to the planetry climate."
It's also perfectly reasonable to blame it on sunspots.
But we do know:
(1) The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is increasing quickly.
(2) Carbon dioxide absorbs infrared radiation (heat). A vessel charged with carbon dioxide will be warmer than one charged with oxygen when exposed to solar radiation.
(3) The average termparature is increasing quickly.
IceOwl IceOwl:
Oh? Perhaps you can refute the claims of the Center for Media and Democracy, since Jaime is too non-committal for that sort of thing.
Sure. Billionaire socialist and globalist George Soros has donated $23 million dollars to the group since 1997. If
he supports it, it can't be good.
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
What do you do when someone insists that two and two are five?
I assume that he went to a public school, is a liberal, and that he believes
geologists predict the weather. I also vote against him in the next election.
He is not the one denying the empirical observation that the average recorded temperature of the earth has increased since the 1850s.
I'm not denying it, I'm just saying that global temps have been far warmer in human history than they are now and the same climatologists who jump to conclusions and say that global warming is caused by pollution were the same fools who said the micro-cooling trend of the late 60's into the early 70's was a lead in to a global
cooling crisis caused by the same pollution.
Except that the world did not freeze over by 1980 as they predicted it would unless we stopped burning fossil fuels.
The only conclusion I can see in all of this is that Western Civilization and capitalism cause global warming while Communism and etc. are so wonderful for the environment.
Except that the countries that do the most to preserve the environment are Western, civilized, and capitalist.
The ones that do the least are not.
I think you are mixing politics and science. I'm talking about the science. As a sceintist, I can't dismiss facts just becaus the person presenting them has a different political viewpoint than me. I can dismiss their opinions, but not facts (i.e. empirical observations).
And actually, very few climatologists that work on climate change had anything to do with the "ice age" predictors of the 60s, since they've mostly retired. Also, science progresses, and we have the benfit now of supercomputers and global circulation models that were unavailable to these scientists.
The planet is heating up. I happen to think that we are causing it, but as far as I'm concerned it's a moot point since no one is very interested in dealing with it.
We have to adapt. That means we have to face the fact that Canada is heating up and predict what will happen in various ecosystems. There will be much hardship, but we are a wealthy nation so we should be able to suck it up. There will also be economic opportunity, and economic advantage if we are more prepared for change that our competitors.
Jaime_Souviens Jaime_Souviens:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
BartSimpson BartSimpson:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
$1:
There is no clear-cut evidence that global warming even exists.
False.
Really?
Can you prove that the current warming of the climate is not a natural phenomenon and that human activity in North America and Western Europe and Japan caused the problem? And that pollution from China, India, Brazil, and the Third World is somehow unrelated to global warming since Kyoto does
nothing to regulate their pollution?
Global warming is a figment of the anti-capitalist, anti-Western mind.
Have you noticed that mile-thick sheet of ice covering Canada lately? Neither have I. That's because the current global warming cycle that started 15,000 years ago has resulted in a warmer climate in the polar regions and countries like Canada are habitable because of it.
It started ages before we were born and there are now indications that the world may now be cooling.
Of course, the global warming fanatics say that the world is cooling
because it is warming!Poppycock.
Typical response from a flat-earther. First of all, why should I "prove" whether oor not global warming is man-made or not. All I did is say that the globe is wamring -- I'm not positing as to why.
As for the rest of your post, I'm reminded of one of the last social cohesion breakdowns in the US -- the Rodney King trial:
"If you play the tape backwards you can see that the officers are trying to help Mr. King up."
It's difficult to argue with you and Jaime when you refuse to accept things like a chart showing tmeperature readings for the last 150 years. What do you do when someone insists that two and two are five?
Idiot.
Full storyWarning. I don't necessarily defend every statement made on the above webpage as true, I only post it to make the point that Zipperfish's presumed obviousness of global warming is more complicated than he suspects.
Calling me an idiot hardly furthers your argument.
The link you provided actually supprts my contention (in a non-scientific way): It says...
$1:
Earth's climate is changing. The result so far:
Global temperatures have risen 5° C
Glaciers have melted and retreated dramatically
Ecosystems around the world are being altered
So which is it? One moment you're denying that the temperature is increasing, and the next you're providing links stating that the temperature is increasing. You seem very confused on the issue.
LOOK THIS IS ALL GW BUSH'S FAULT FOR NOT SIGNING THE KYOTO ACCORD!
ITS ALSO HIS FAULT WHEN I STUBBED MY TOE EARLIER TODAY! I INTEND TO WRITE A STONG WORDED LETTER TO MY CONGRESSWOMAN ABOUT MY TOE!
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
I think you are mixing politics and science.
No, I am not. The people promoting the crisis-of-the-week are the ones injecting their politics into the science.
Let's recap, shall we?
Chloroflourocarbons (CFCs) were supposed to be causing the ozone hole over the poles and the Chicken Littles forced the governments of the world to pass laws requiring the costly change from Freon to R134 coolant. Except that CFCs have
NOTHING to do with ozone depletion. This was discovered when sunspot activity declined and, gosh-golly-gee, the ozone layer regenerated all on its own. But did the Chicken Littles recant? No. Because the environment was not their goal all along, disrupting society was their goal and they achieved that.
In the 1970's the Chicken Littles said that the
then-current cooling trend was going to cause a global ice age by 1980 unless we stopped burning fossil fuels. When the weather started warming after the middle of the decade and then the El Nino event predictably happened then in 1988 they changed their gloom & doom predictions to global warming since the global cooling scam didn't work out all that well.
Lead was removed from gasoline in the 1970's and replaced with ethanol that makes formaldehyde which is more toxic than the lead it replaced. Then that was replaced with MTBE which is just a shade less toxic than gaseous plutonium. Which has now been replaced again by ethanol. Here's a thought, howzabout we just burn
gasoline?
Nuclear power bad, right? Except now the environmentalists are saying maybe its okay.
Wind power good, right? No, apparently windmills can disturb micro-climates and cause localised climatological trauma.
Solar is good, right? Except that you need to use incredibly toxic materials to make solar panels.
Sorry you can't see this, but the anti-Western politics is tainting the science.
ManifestDestiny ManifestDestiny:
LOOK THIS IS ALL GW BUSH'S FAULT FOR NOT SIGNING THE KYOTO ACCORD!
ITS ALSO HIS FAULT WHEN I STUBBED MY TOE EARLIER TODAY! I INTEND TO WRITE A STONG WORDED LETTER TO MY CONGRESSWOMAN ABOUT MY TOE!
Another lost soul screams from the abyss of cyberspace.
hmm just like that I have to agree with zippy.... ![With stupid [stupid]](./images/smilies/stupid.gif)
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
So which is it? One moment you're denying that the temperature is increasing, and the next you're providing links stating that the temperature is increasing. You seem very confused on the issue.
ONE MORE TIME:
Sure, temperatures may be going up by a teensy fraction of ONE degree over the last 150 years. First, let me say, BIG FREAKING DEAL!!! Second, just because the temperature is going up does NOT mean that people are causing it to go up. That big shiny thing in the sky, you know, The SUN?? Do you THINK that might have more to do with climate change than anything else?
Do you THINK AT ALL?
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
ManifestDestiny ManifestDestiny:
LOOK THIS IS ALL GW BUSH'S FAULT FOR NOT SIGNING THE KYOTO ACCORD!
ITS ALSO HIS FAULT WHEN I STUBBED MY TOE EARLIER TODAY! I INTEND TO WRITE A STONG WORDED LETTER TO MY CONGRESSWOMAN ABOUT MY TOE!
Another lost soul screams from the abyss of cyberspace.
In his world we caused everything.
The Earth is 4.5 billion years old we have been here for about 50,000 years been poluting for may be 1,000 years.
To compare thats like saying "that cough I got last week was because of that puff of a cigarette I took back in highschool."
I am gonna say this again get off you elitest asses we are not causing any of these problems. we have only been keeping accurate records for 150 years so what can we know?