Ottawa predicts 4 years of deficits
DerbyX @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 8:26 pm
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
Name one left of centre social policy initiative introduced by the Chretien government in the 1990's.
You always think its just about programs. I might mention the gun registry. Thats certainly not right wing thinking. I will mention SSM. Thats exactly what I mean by progressive (note the term progressive because many "righties" here do support it). Pro-abortion? Yep.
Its absoluetly amazing though the range of arguments arrayed against the Libs. Here you are saying they were essentially a right of centre party in policy while others say they are stalinist socilaists. Now before you freak out again i just want to point that out just so you can understand the arguments I have come up against.
Hell, I have had to point out to the Liberals fiscal conservative side to people who consider them kith and kin to castro.
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
Except that, prior to Trudeau's tenure, there was no deficit. Pearson was an excellent Liberal Prime Minister who is widely admired today by all sides. Why didn't he run his government on a deficit. Why was it necessary for Trudeau to do so?
Why were all the western powers doing it? Why is the richest country in the world running deficits and why are they in debt so far ours seems like pocket change?
Why is Harper running one when he is a trained economist and a conservative?
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
Well, that Maclean's article may or may not exist. How convienent that you're able to cite some phantom article by Maclean's that ostensibly claims Mulroney ran some bad economic programs.
Hey, 3 years ago I saw an article in the New York Times that proved Paul Martin was a Pedophile. I can't cite that article mind you, but I'll just throw it out there and see if it sticks.
Nice try. Do you come from the Bill O'Reilly school of Journalism or the Rush Limbaugh one?
Well you do have a point. For a short time the link worked but eventually they archive it and it requires a fee.
Doesn't matter though. Whatever he spent the money on it didn't do much. Why did Mulroney run such high deficits then? He had plenty of time to cut/slash/reduce all those needless social programs didn't he? Chretien did much better with far less. Why did Mulroney fail? Probably because I'm right and he used an ill-advised unemployment policy that Chretien didn't.
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
Name one social program initiated by Pierre Trudeau still in existance today.
So what? Name one piece of equpiment purchased for the Canadian military in WW1 still in use today (besides the sea kings).
That they have been supplanted or eliminated is irrelevant. He provided what was wanted and needed at the time.
DerbyX @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 8:26 pm
Toro Toro:
DerbyX DerbyX:
On a positive note we are still winning the premiership and have advaced in the champions league. likely the only chance I have of any team I support winning anything.
Ah well.
We're going to crush Real!
YNWA!
DerbyX DerbyX:
The Liberals would not have run a deficit. If you believe they would have (and I means all conservative supporters of all stripes) then by all means step aside and let the Liberals form the govt so we can be sure.
I would normally start off with a preamble that argues you make some good points about the benefit of income tax cuts vs consumption tax cuts, but you don't seem capable of acknowledging it when someone enters into reasonable discussion with you so I'll just cut to the partisan stuff you enjoy so much.
The Liberals would most certainly run a deficit in today's economy because the rise in government spending that Canada has had since 2003 is directly proportional to the skyrocketing price of oil.
The price of oil has dropped dramatically since July.
It's a bit harder to bring down government spending so quickly.
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
The Liberals would most certainly run a deficit in today's economy because the rise in government spending that Canada has had since 2003 is directly proportional to the skyrocketing price of oil.
The price of oil has dropped dramatically since July.
It's a bit harder to bring down government spending so quickly.
Not necessarily oil, but commodities in general (agricultural products, metals, forestry industry, etc). Of which Canada produces a lot, constitutes a large portion of our economy, and thus the government's income is variably linked to the price of said commodities on the global market..
DerbyX @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 8:40 pm
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
DerbyX DerbyX:
The Liberals would not have run a deficit. If you believe they would have (and I means all conservative supporters of all stripes) then by all means step aside and let the Liberals form the govt so we can be sure.
I would normally start off with a preamble that argues you make some good points about the benefit of income tax cuts vs consumption tax cuts, but you don't seem capable of acknowledging it when someone enters into reasonable discussion with you so I'll just cut to the partisan stuff you enjoy so much.
The Liberals would most certainly run a deficit in today's economy because the rise in government spending that Canada has had since 2003 is directly proportional to the skyrocketing price of oil.
The price of oil has dropped dramatically since July.
It's a bit harder to bring down government spending so quickly.
Spare me. Scape pointed out correctly that the Libs fully costed their program.
Its partisan crap that holds the opinion
without proof that the Libs would run a deficit.
Who knows. They might do what many accuse them of and simply make up the shortfall by slashing the military budget. They might raise the GST immediately (iggy has already alluded to the posibility of raisning it "later").
They might have done alot of things to avoid the deficit.
To stamp your feet and declare they would have as a means to excuse Harpers deficit is dishonest, unfounded, and everybit as partisan as you accuse me of.
Oil prices or not there are no grounds to state categorically they would be running deficits.
DerbyX DerbyX:
You always think its just about programs. I might mention the gun registry. Thats certainly not right wing thinking.
The gun-registry is supported by the Canadian Association of Chiefs of Police, a group generally considered "Right-Wing" in their politics.
And the Conservatives have still maintained it, suggesting it's a program that actually enjoys some level of bi-partisan support.
$1:
I will mention SSM. Thats exactly what I mean by progressive (note the term progressive because many "righties" here do support it).
Maybe they don't. But in 1999, the era we are talking about here, Parliament held a free-vote on introducing Same Sex Marriage and most Liberals opposed it. Among them was none other than Jean Chretien. I'm not going to post it, look it up Derby.
How soon you forget eh?
$1:
Pro-abortion? Yep.
The Supreme Court struck down the Abortion law in 1988, under a Conservative Government.
Since that time, Conservatives have been in power for 8 of 20 years. About 40% of the time. Yet, we still haven't seen even
one new federal law introduced restricting a "woman's right to choose." Not one.
So where's the Conservative agenda Derby?
$1:
Its absoluetly amazing though the range of arguments arrayed against the Libs. Here you are saying they were essentially a right of centre party in policy while others say they are stalinist socilaists. Now before you freak out again i just want to point that out just so you can understand the arguments I have come up against.
And once again, Derby begins arguing with me over the opinons of others. Blah, blah. Blah. Whatever. Argue with them.
StuntmanMike StuntmanMike:
Name one social program initiated by Pierre Trudeau still in existance today.
So what? Name one piece of equpiment purchased for the Canadian military in WW1 still in use today (besides the sea kings).
Dodge!
$1:
That they have been supplanted or eliminated is irrelevant. He provided what was wanted and needed at the time.
What was needed at the time? Like wage and price controls? Even the CBC now acknowledges that was a dog!
Are you serious? You extoll the virtues of the Trudeupian welfare state but you can't even come up with one example of a social program he initiated that is still in existence today?
Sorry Derby, but that's kind of pathetic.
Toro @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 8:49 pm
DerbyX DerbyX:
I disagree that economist say running a balanced budget is bad during a recession. What they say is that running a deficit isn't an awful proposition. Subtle but distinct difference.
Well, I have a bookcase full of economics books and texts that say otherwise.
Here is a press release from the Canadian Center for Policy Alternatives, a left-wing think tank.
$1:
"The real underlying question now is not whether the federal government should run a deficit but how large the planning deficit for 2009/10 should be," says Marc Lee, CCPA Senior Economist. "The federal government has a lead role to play in cushioning the impact of a recession, both through federal programs and in partnership with the provinces."
To that end, the report outlines a six-point fiscal stimulus package that recommends strengthening the EI program and other income support measures, launching a major federal-provincial green infrastructure program, creating a green manufacturing fund, and preventing home foreclosures.
"Government policy should be to prevent a large increase in unemployment while strengthening EI and other supports to assist families and communities," says Lee. "A danger is that Canada will be too timid or will revert to less effective measures like tax cuts. Spending and infrastructure investments are better targeted and deliver a stronger fiscal stimulus than would further tax cuts, which are more likely to go to higher-income families who may save rather than spend the proceeds."
The CCPA argues that Canada needs to do its fair share of a coordinated global effort to fight the coming recession, so it must be bold. It notes that Canada is well-positioned to do so and this also offers an opportunity to retrofit the country’s crumbling infrastructure for a green economy.
http://www.policyalternatives.ca/news/2 ... lease2020/This is classic Keynesian economics, which in fact, is really mainstream economics now. This is what you are taught in Macro 101. Almost all economists, except perhaps those who are most stridently right-wing, argue the government should run deficits during recessions.
The argument is not whether or not governments should run deficits during recessions. This argument is over in the academic world. Rather, the focus of the political debate is on the structural fiscal position of the government throughout the cycle.
What Keynes argued - correctly - is that governments should run deficits during recessions and pay off the deficits and run surpluses during expansions. The focus of the criticism of the Harper government is that the policies of cutting the GST and corporate taxes weakened the fiscal position of the government
over the cycle. The Conservative position is that even with cutting taxes as they did, the surpluses in good times will be large enough to offset the deficits in the bad times. I believe this is correct, but I am also willing to concede that the critics may be right. Nobody is seriously arguing that the government should not run a deficit in the recession. The argument from the opposition parties is that the tax cuts have weakened Canada's position to fight the recession. They may be correct. Only time will tell.
It is hypothetical to argue what the Liberals would do, but what I am arguing is that the Liberals would run the correct policy response by deficit financing. I think the Liberals did a good job putting the country's fiscal house in order. However, by running an intelligent policy of surplus financing and paying down Canada's debt during good times, they would also run intelligent policy by financing deficits in bad times.
As for the GST cut,
all tax cuts are stimulative, just like
all government spending is stimulative. The question is not whether or not the tax cut/government spending is stimulative. The question is by how much and whether it is desirable.
edited for clarification
heh saw this posted on a blog from http://www.bloggingcanadians.ca

I believe it was M. Mulroney that instituted the GST, in place of a manufacturing tax, was it not? Good business sense, making our companies more competitive while trying to balance the books as much as possible.
Though it was an extremely unpopular move since, as I'm told, people don't like to know they're being taxed..

DerbyX @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 9:03 pm
Keynesian economics is not gospel. If it were we'd al be rich. Hell I put more stock in Warren Buffet and he was never from the school of losing money one day to make money the next. Buying stocks and commodities that others had undervalued was key to his fortune, a method regarded as the gold standard.
Regardless, they are saying "deficits aren't scary" during recession times not "deficits must be policy". In addition that fails to take into account the economic situation particular to each country.
Canada is an obligate exporter with the unfortunate reputation as a risky investment for foreign capital especially in our currency. The US and UK have stronger and stabler currencies based on investor confidence. Our economy has been strong for over a decade. We have the resources and skilled labour to maximize it and are blessed with a peacefullaw abiding society free of most problems. By all accounts our dollar should tower above all. It isn't based largely on investor confidence, misconceptions over our "socialist" nature and our low population. This is grossly simplified but then so is the belief we must run a deficit during ecnomic hardships.
I certainly didn't hear this argument 2 months ago but that was craptastic politico gamemanship.
Given that virtually every hard core con is saying our economy is fine and reports that consumer spending is exceeding last year I ask you this:
What reason does Harper have for running a massive deficit when things aren't anywhere near as bad as they should be to warrant a 30 billion dollar deficit?
mtbr @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 9:06 pm
Kerozine Kerozine:
I believe it was M. Mulroney that instituted the GST, in place of a manufacturing tax, was it not? Good business sense, making our companies more competitive while trying to balance the books as much as possible.
Though it was an extremely unpopular move since, as I'm told, people don't like to know they're being taxed..

Yes, and it was Chretien who said he would eliminate it, but why would he do that ?
how else do you think he managed a surplus

where did the Coalition plan on getting the 30 billion they planned on spending ...no deficit I'm sure
uwish @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 9:08 pm
then I take it Derby you don't support the current coalition deficit spending idea?
how very un-liberal of you
herbie @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 9:12 pm
I hate to mention the dork who bought a new computer from me last January and bragged about 'saving' by waiting until after Christmas.
It was $499. He put up with kids home during the break whining the whole time about their crappy old computer to save:
$5
I'd have bought TWO plus paid the extra GST to shut them both up.
Now get out there and consume.
Toro @ Fri Dec 19, 2008 9:12 pm
DerbyX DerbyX:
Given that virtually every hard core con is saying our economy is fine and reports that consumer spending is exceeding last year I ask you this:
What reason does Harper have for running a massive deficit when things aren't anywhere near as bad as they should be to warrant a 30 billion dollar deficit?
I am a conservative supporter and I am telling you that things will not be fine in 2009. (Sorry for the poetry.)
The question is not whether or not Canada is going into a recession. The question is how bad is it going to be. Right now, I am seeing some economists forecast a mild recession for Canada. I think that is wrong. I think the recession in Canada could be the most painful since the early 80s, perhaps worse.
Toro Toro:
As for the GST cut, all tax cuts are stimulative, just like all government spending is stimulative. The question is not whether or not the tax cut/government spending is stimulative. The question is by how much and whether it is desirable.
It's true, tax cuts are indeed stimulative. But how stimulative is open to debate.
The Limbaugh/ O'Reilly crowd believe whole-heartedly that tax cuts pay for themselves. They don't, and that's an economic theory that's easily disproven.
What
is well established is that record trade deficits with third-world countries like China, combined with disastarous deficit spending to finance ill-conceived foreign military excursions, combined with disproportionate executive compensation, combined with over-dependence on unstable, overpriced oil supplies, leads to financial ruin.